Insights on coffee, people and evidence

HARVEST – Households Advancing Resilience, Value Chains, and Sustainable Transformation

Diversifying livelihoods to build resilience beyond coffee

Village Enterprise aims to improve the living conditions of households in extreme poverty through its evidence-based poverty graduation model. In Ethiopia’s Kaffa Zone, HARVEST combines financial inclusion, entrepreneurship training, seed capital, and ongoing mentoring, enabling 8,100 households to increase and diversify incomes beyond coffee and build long-term economic resilience.

KEY FACTS

WHERE 

Ethiopia (Kaffa Zone, Gimbo and Shisho Inde woredas)

WHO 

Village Enterprise (Implementation) & Innovations for Poverty Action (IPA) (Evaluation)


WHEN 

Dec 2025 – Nov 2028 

GOAL 

Improve income diversification and resilience

REACH 

8,100 households 

EVALUATION 

Randomized Controlled Trial

KEY IMPACT METRIC

15% increase

in annual household income 
by 2028

KEY FACTS

WHERE

Ethiopia (Kaffa Zone, Gimbo and Shisho Inde woredas)

WHO

Village Enterprise (Implementation) & Innovations for Poverty Action (IPA) (Evaluation)


WHEN

Dec 2025 – Nov 2028

GOAL

Improve income diversification and resilience

REACH

8,100 households

EVALUATION

Randomized Controlled Trial

KEY IMPACT METRIC

15% increase

in annual household income 
by 2028

Approach

The project delivers Village Enterprise’s 12-month graduation model, supporting households in extreme poverty to launch and sustain microenterprises through:

  • Rigorous targeting of ultra-poor households using the Poverty Probability Index (PPI)
  • Formation of Business Savings Groups to promote community-managed finance
  • Business and financial literacy training
  • Seed capital grants (USD 300 per three-person business group)
  • Ongoing mentoring and coaching

Participants launch income-generating activities such as livestock rearing, cereal farming, vegetable production, beekeeping, and retail shops – reducing reliance on coffee alone.

EVALUATION & LEARNING

The project will be externally evaluated by Innovations for Poverty Action (IPA) in partnership with the Ethiopia Policy Innovation Research Center (PIRC) through a randomized controlled trial (RCT).

The evaluation assesses:

  • Impacts on household consumption, assets, income diversification, and wellbeing,
  • Downstream effects on coffee-related investments,
  • Spillover effects on non-participating households in extreme poverty.

Spillover effects will be measured using a randomized saturation design in which the program is offered to either 100% or 50% of eligible households in a village, depending on the village’s randomized assignment. We will also include control villages where no program activities take place during the study period.

This approach lets us compare outcomes across different levels of program coverage and understand both direct impacts on participating households and any effects that extend to non-participants – evidence that will inform scalable models for poverty reduction in coffee-producing regions in Ethiopia and beyond.

Initial results from the impact evaluation are expected at the beginning of 2029, with long-term results being published by mid-2030. 

IMPACT

We expect the following outcomes:

  • 15% increase in annual household income by 2028
  • 50% increase in number of distinct income sources per household
  • 20% higher asset stock value 

What excites us about this partnership

We are excited to bring a tested, evidence-based graduation approach into the coffee sector and learn if and how income diversification supports investments in coffee. We are looking forward to partnering with like-minded evidence-driven organizations like Village Enterprise and IPA, which strive to strengthen impact and improve cost-effectiveness through the use of outcome data and emerging evidence. Village Enterprise has shown that standardization and adaptability can go hand in hand – ensuring high-quality implementation while effectively responding to diverse and complex local contexts.

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