Insights on coffee, people and evidence

Improving incomes of coffee farmers in Jimma

Linking local strength with digital innovation.

 

Digital Green wants to empower smallholder farmers and their communities through digital solutions. In Ethiopia, their approach elevates locally available agricultural advisory services by integrating technology-led innovations such as video-based trainings and further services.

Key Facts

Where
Ethiopia (Oromia Region, Jimma Zone)
Who
Digital Green (Implementation) & IFPRI (Evaluation)
When
Jul 2023 – Dec 2027
Goal
Increase coffee farmers' income through digital solutions
Reach
34,250 households
Evaluation
Randomized Controlled Trial

Projected Return

Forecast SROI
7.7 (range: 4.7 – 8.7)
Cost
€47 per household
income gain
€362 per household
% income increase
5% per household
Certainty
Low

Approach

The project leverages digital tools and local structures to support coffee growing smallholder farmers to increase their long-term incomes through various economic activities such as:

The project operates across four coffee-producing woredas: Seka Chokorsa, Limu Kosa, Mana, and Shebe Sombo.

The project aims for the following outcomes:

EVALUATION & LEARNING

The project is externally evaluated by the International Food Policy and Research Institute (IFPRI) via a Randomized Control Trial.

Within four treatment arms the evaluation intends to assess the causal impact of the three key components of the project (i.e., digital extension, input credit, and WSHGs) and their combination on the adoption of good agricultural practice, yield, household income, and other relevant outcomes.

Projected Return – Model Explanation

The forecast SROI of 7.7 (range: 4.7 – 8.7) is based on assumptions derived from the project baseline and external sources — no endline data is yet available.

The project tests four treatment arms, with projected income gains ranging from €324 per household (coffee extension only) to €459 where Women Self-Help Groups add an additional income layer — a combination not previously tested and not yet backed by empirical data from comparable programs.

The yield benefit of stumping and future coffee price development are the two most influential assumptions — both subject to considerable uncertainty at this stage.

We expect the model will require substantial downward revision once midline results from the RCT become available in Q3 2026.

All model figures represent present value over 10 years, discounted at 10%, deflated to 2021 EUR.

Read more about our SROI methodology here.

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